Election Integrity Fears This Midterm?

Photo by Oxana Melis on Unsplash

A Gallup poll released on Friday (November 4) shows a majority of Americans believe the votes will be cast legally and accurately counted during the midterm elections.

The survey conducted between October 3 and October 20 revealed 34 percent of participants are confident in the election integrity of the upcoming midterms, while 29 percent expressed being somewhat confident in the election’s integrity.

Although sixty-three percent of the participants expressed confidence in election integrity, the figure is on the lower end of confidence but is four percentage points higher than record lows recorded in 2008 and 2020.

Gallup polled a random sample of 1,009 adults over the phone, revealing a wider partisan gap than the analytics company had ever recorded.

Republicans were less confident in election integrity than Democrats. Only 40 percent of Republicans expressed being confident in the midterm’s integrity, compared to 85 percent of Democrats who believe the same.

Gallup began polling on the question in 2004 but skipped 2010, 2012, and 2014 elections, making this year’s polling the seventh time Gallup asked the question.

Despite confidence in election integrity being among the lowest figures recorded, those who say they are “very confident” in election integrity (34 percent) are among the highest figures recorded since 2016’s record high of 35 percent.

The 34 percent of participants expressing being “very confident” represent a 16 percentage point increase since Gallup asked in 2020.

Generally, confidence in election integrity has decreased since 2004 and 2006, when roughly three-quarters of Americans expressed being very or somewhat confident in election integrity.