Blacks to Biden: Bye-Bye

Joe Biden

( – In the evolving political landscape leading up to the 2024 federal elections, the traditionally reliable minority support for Democrats appears to be undergoing a significant shift. Recent polling data indicates an increasing tendency among voters of color to support Republican candidates, a change that could have substantial implications for future election outcomes.

The 2020 presidential election saw a robust endorsement of Joe Biden by many black Americans, fueled by the promises and expectations he represented. However, a sense of disillusionment has emerged due to unfulfilled commitments by the Biden administration.

This sentiment is reflected in a recent poll by the New York Times and Siena College, revealing a notable decrease in the percentage of black voters who assert their support for Biden in the upcoming 2024 election. The poll indicates a drop from 92% in 2020 to 71% in favor of Biden. Conversely, support for Donald Trump among black voters has seen a significant increase, rising from 8% in 2020 to 22%.

When it comes to the certainty of their voting intentions, only 49% of black respondents expressed a definitive commitment to voting for Biden, while 12% were certain about voting for Trump. Notably, over 20% of those not supporting Biden conveyed that there was “not really any chance” of changing their decision by the next year.

Economic concerns are paramount for voters across all racial demographics, particularly so for black voters, 65% of whom prioritized “economic issues such as jobs, taxes or the cost of living” in their voting decisions. The American economy’s current state is a significant factor, with only 2% of respondents describing it as “excellent” and 48% labeling it as “poor.”

Regarding perceptions of Biden’s capabilities, 56% of black voters agreed with the statement that he is “just too old to be an effective president,” and 43% doubted his “mental sharpness.”

In response to these shifting dynamics, the Wall Street Journal reports that both the Biden and Trump campaigns are intensifying efforts to garner black support, with Biden’s team initiating outreach activities earlier than in previous campaigns. This strategic focus underscores the growing recognition of the pivotal role that minority voters are poised to play in the forthcoming election.