2024 Election Winner Already Decided?

Photo by Clay Banks on Unsplash

According to a new poll, American voters are more decided on who they don’t support than who they will support in the 2024 Presidential election.

In a Monmouth University poll published Thursday (May 25), Democratic President Joe Biden faced Republicans former President Donald Trump, former Vice President Mike Pence, and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis in hypothetical matchups.

DeSantis officially joined the 2024 White House race this week, but Pence has yet to announce his candidacy.

For each hypothetical matchup, the survey found that between 44 and 46 percent of voters said they would “definitely” not support Biden, while between 7 and 8 percent said they would “probably” not vote for him.

About a third of likely voters said they would definitely vote for Biden over Trump and DeSantis— 32 percent and 31 percent, respectively.

Twenty-seven percent say they would definitely support Biden in a matchup against Pence.

Forty-six percent of voters said they definitely wouldn’t vote for Trump in a hypothetical matchup against Biden, and 29 percent said they definitely would.

Forty-one percent of voters say they definitely would not support DeSantis in a matchup against Biden, and 26 percent say they definitely would support the Florida Governor.

Finally, 36 percent say they definitely won’t vote for Pence over Biden, while 18 percent say they definitely would.

Patrick Murray, Monmouth University Polling Institute’s director, noted that negative opinion is hard to change, and when it changes, it’s typically “in the wrong direction for the candidate.”

Murray added it didn’t mean opinions in the poll wouldn’t change over the next 18 months but highlighted that the “results are a sign of how few voters are truly up for grabs in our hyper-partisan political environment.”